Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.327783 12.968721 14.778213 16.923939 19.402101 22.178026 25.528470
2025-10-05 9.349392 11.537246 14.146550 17.497049 21.698719 26.811124 33.530427
2025-10-12 8.154951 10.614579 13.716808 17.935119 23.550465 30.808549 40.966227
2025-10-19 7.383625 10.040432 13.549190 18.552015 25.551041 35.067114 49.109079
2025-10-26 6.430855 9.072206 12.698397 18.080450 25.935115 37.086491 54.307953
2025-11-02 5.736824 8.362695 12.094643 17.836889 26.542641 39.395678 60.084521
2025-11-09 5.176428 7.773227 11.581730 17.637490 27.144297 41.693916 66.026493
2025-11-16 4.693898 7.242981 11.090928 17.397382 27.621973 43.800882 71.839533
2025-11-23 4.256222 6.734278 10.575934 17.051014 27.868028 45.524905 77.162431
2025-11-30 4.106610 6.662124 10.730717 17.783797 29.926709 50.379836 88.287233
2025-12-07 3.879356 6.439881 10.617618 18.050475 31.209494 54.030356 97.681209
2025-12-14 3.620032 6.139171 10.344191 18.009125 31.938125 56.764873 105.684170
2025-12-21 3.350115 5.801062 9.984408 17.793027 32.351883 59.010577 113.104533
2025-12-28 3.238345 5.728705 10.077722 18.396603 34.323406 64.313261 127.052670
2026-01-04 3.113740 5.621205 10.096392 18.858563 36.064446 69.342121 141.033959
2026-01-11 3.025143 5.570729 10.211775 19.509152 38.227037 75.398890 157.843440
2026-01-18 2.791503 5.229695 9.757910 19.011826 38.051975 76.748249 164.792152
2026-01-25 2.609537 4.972276 9.441043 18.754974 38.335756 79.054219 174.081866
2026-02-01 2.448971 4.743497 9.160614 18.544703 38.691212 81.535121 184.040885
2026-02-08 2.297094 4.519978 8.872524 18.291513 38.926872 83.772379 193.689254
2026-02-15 2.145800 4.286097 8.545368 17.926292 38.880754 85.376945 202.017584
2026-02-22 2.121006 4.308348 8.741018 18.698988 41.433540 93.077903 226.084365
2026-03-01 2.049025 4.226748 8.714118 18.980215 42.894995 98.411959 244.919077